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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September has increased after the release of US ADP and GDP data.

PANewsJul 30, 2025
#Macro
On July 30th, according to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 97.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.1%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 37.9% (down from 34.0% before the data release), the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 60.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1.3%. [PANews]
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The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in September has increased after the release of US ADP and GDP data.

PANewsJul 30, 2025
#Macro
On July 30th, according to CME's "Fed Watch," the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 97.9%, and the probability of a 25 basis point rate cut is 2.1%. The probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in September is 37.9% (down from 34.0% before the data release), the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut is 60.9%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut is 1.3%. [PANews]
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