Before the release of ADP data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 89.2%.

BlockBeatsDec 3, 2025
#Macro
On December 3, according to CME's "Fed Watch," before today's ADP data release, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 89.2%, while the probability of holding rates steady was 10.8%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by January next year was 66.6%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged was 7.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut was 25.7%.

[BlockBeats]

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Before the release of ADP data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 89.2%.

BlockBeatsDec 3, 2025
#Macro
On December 3, according to CME's "Fed Watch," before today's ADP data release, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 89.2%, while the probability of holding rates steady was 10.8%.

The probability of the Federal Reserve cumulatively cutting rates by 25 basis points by January next year was 66.6%, the probability of maintaining rates unchanged was 7.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut was 25.7%.

[BlockBeats]

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