After the release of the ADP data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December slightly decreased to 88.8%.
BlockBeatsDec 3, 2025On December 3, according to CME's "Fed Watch" data, after today's ADP data release, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 88.8% (pre-release: 89.2%), while the probability of holding rates steady is 11.2%.The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining current rates through January is 29.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is 63%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 7.8%.The next two FOMC meetings will be held on December 10 and January 28, 2026.[BlockBeats]
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After the release of the ADP data, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December slightly decreased to 88.8%.
BlockBeatsDec 3, 2025On December 3, according to CME's "Fed Watch" data, after today's ADP data release, the probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December is 88.8% (pre-release: 89.2%), while the probability of holding rates steady is 11.2%.The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining current rates through January is 29.5%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is 63%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 7.8%.The next two FOMC meetings will be held on December 10 and January 28, 2026.[BlockBeats]
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